Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000162 0.000178 0.000197
2025-12-21 0.000086 0.000102 0.000120 0.000142 0.000168 0.000199 0.000239
2025-12-28 0.000074 0.000092 0.000114 0.000142 0.000179 0.000225 0.000288
2026-01-04 0.000065 0.000085 0.000109 0.000143 0.000189 0.000250 0.000337
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000141 0.000194 0.000267 0.000377
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000073 0.000101 0.000142 0.000202 0.000289 0.000426
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000068 0.000096 0.000140 0.000206 0.000304 0.000467
2026-02-01 0.000044 0.000064 0.000094 0.000140 0.000212 0.000324 0.000515
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000060 0.000090 0.000137 0.000214 0.000337 0.000554
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000134 0.000215 0.000347 0.000590
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000055 0.000084 0.000135 0.000222 0.000370 0.000650
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000053 0.000084 0.000138 0.000232 0.000397 0.000719
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000135 0.000233 0.000410 0.000767
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000130 0.000230 0.000414 0.000799
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000131 0.000237 0.000439 0.000875
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000043 0.000074 0.000131 0.000244 0.000465 0.000959
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000071 0.000130 0.000246 0.000481 0.001022
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000070 0.000130 0.000253 0.000507 0.001112
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000128 0.000255 0.000522 0.001178
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000037 0.000066 0.000128 0.000260 0.000545 0.001266
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000064 0.000126 0.000260 0.000558 0.001331
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000123 0.000259 0.000568 0.001391
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000124 0.000267 0.000598 0.001509